LIQUIDITY LAYER (stablecoin supply growth) as an extra condition G on 100d (base) +4278% dd -53% | +68% dd -30% G, risk also needs stables 30d > 0 +5059% dd -41% | +58% dd -30% G, risk also needs stables 60d > 0 +5779% dd -38% | +55% dd -32% G, risk also needs stables 90d > 0 +4761% dd -38% | +46% dd -30% days risk-on with stables 60d shrinking: 230 STABLES 60d growth vs next 60d ALTS minus BTC (alts basket) low tercile hold n=115 median alts-vs-BTC -6.0% win 39% low tercile recent n= 35 median alts-vs-BTC -6.2% win 11% mid tercile hold n= 62 median alts-vs-BTC -2.6% win 45% mid tercile recent n= 88 median alts-vs-BTC -2.2% win 41% high tercile hold n=122 median alts-vs-BTC -1.7% win 46% high tercile recent n= 28 median alts-vs-BTC -30.7% win 0% TRENCH WINDOW PROXY: BTC 7d crosses +10%, then MEMES vs BTC over 14d hold n=36 memes beat BTC 19/36 median rel +0.1% memes up 21/36 recent n=11 memes beat BTC 5/11 median rel -2.4% memes up 6/11 base rate: memes beat BTC in any 14d window 39%, median -2.8%